empty
12.02.2025 03:30 PM
Stock Market on February 12th: S&P 500 and NASDAQ Stall Ahead of Key Data

Futures on U.S. stock indices are trading within a narrow range as traders eagerly await the release of key U.S. inflation data, which will provide insights into the potential timeline for interest rate cuts this year. S&P 500 futures are down 0.1%, while NASDAQ futures have declined by 0.2%. Meanwhile, European indices received a boost from strong corporate earnings. Heineken NV shares surged 13% as the brewing company reported strong demand for premium brands. ABN Amro Bank NV jumped over 8% after reporting net interest income that exceeded forecasts.

This image is no longer relevant

Inflation in the U.S. remains the most critical topic today. It is likely to have remained unchanged in January, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's patient approach to cutting borrowing costs. Markets are closely watching for any signs of inflation cooling, but January's data may disappoint expectations.

Given this outlook, the Fed will likely maintain a cautious stance, weighing the risks of a premature rate cut against the risks of keeping rates too high for too long. Comments from Fed officials following the CPI report will be of particular interest.

Yesterday, Chair Jerome Powell told Congress that the Fed does not need to rush into rate cuts, citing the resilience of the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, Treasury yields stabilized after a broad decline across the curve on Tuesday.

Clearly, until there is greater clarity on mid-term inflation trends, the U.S. stock market—particularly the S&P 500—will remain in neutral territory.

Here are some inflation forecasts from leading global financial institutions. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Market Intelligence estimates that the S&P 500 could drop by 2% if the January CPI report shows an increase of 0.4% or more compared to the previous month. "Expect the bond market to react sharply, as it may reassess its view that Fed funds rates are not restrictive enough and that the next likely Fed move is a hike rather than a cut," the bank noted. A shift in bond yields would push the U.S. dollar higher, exerting additional downward pressure on equities. Consensus estimates suggest a monthly CPI increase of 0.3%, which could result in a modest 1% move in the S&P 500.

This image is no longer relevant

Oil prices declined following an industry report that indicated a significant buildup in U.S. crude inventories. Gold is falling for the second consecutive session after reaching a new high earlier this week.

Technical Outlook for S&P 500

Demand remains strong, and the primary target for buyers today is to break through the nearest resistance at $6,069. Achieving this will support the continuation of the uptrend and pave the way for a rally toward $6,079.

A secondary bullish target will be maintaining control above $6,089, which would strengthen buyers' positions.

If risk appetite declines, buyers must assert themselves around $6,058. A break below this level would quickly push the index back to $6,047, potentially opening the door for further declines toward $6,038.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Mercado de valores el 18 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ suben por segundo día consecutivo

Los índices bursátiles estadounidenses cerraron ayer con una fuerte subida. El S&P 500 aumentó un 0,64%, mientras que el Nasdaq 100 ganó un 0,31%. Las acciones asiáticas también están subiendo

Jakub Novak 08:25 2025-03-18 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 17 de marzo: los índices S&P 500 y NASDAQ siguen bajo presión

Los futuros de los índices bursátiles estadounidenses cayeron después de que el secretario del Tesoro, Scott Bessent, calificara la reciente caída como favorable, lo que reforzó la opinión

Jakub Novak 10:38 2025-03-17 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 14 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ continúan cayendo

Los futuros del índice de acciones S&P 500 y NASDAQ continuaron su fuerte descenso y volvieron al desarrollo de un escenario bajista. Las acciones asiáticas, así como los futuros

Jakub Novak 10:16 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Mercado de EE.UU. NASDAQ y S&P 500 en territorio de corrección: 10% por debajo de sus máximos.

S&P500 Análisis del 14 de marzo Mercado de EE.UU.: Corrección profunda. Principales índices de EE.UU. el jueves : : Dow -1.3%, NASDAQ -2%, S&P 500 -1.4%, S&P500 5521, rango 5400

Jozef Kovach 10:15 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Google, la Reserva Federal, Salesforce y los mercados de divisas: eventos que no se pueden ignorar

Los mercados modernos no se detienen: las nuevas tecnologías, los datos macroeconómicos y las decisiones políticas pueden cambiar instantáneamente el equilibrio de poder en la economía global. En este artículo

Natalia Andreeva 11:14 2025-03-13 UTC+2

S&P 500 se acerca a un punto de reversión. ¿Riesgo o oportunidad?

El mercado de valores estadounidense sigue mostrando una alta volatilidad, pero los inversores comienzan a buscar puntos de entrada después de la reciente caída. El enfoque está en la dinámica

Anna Zotova 11:14 2025-03-13 UTC+2

El mercado bursátil el 13 de marzo: el crecimiento de los índices S&P 500 y NASDAQ no duró mucho

Los futuros de los índices S&P 500 y NASDAQ volvieron a caer después de la publicación de los datos de inflación en EE. UU. de ayer, que, sorprendentemente, indicaron

Jakub Novak 07:55 2025-03-13 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 12 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ alcanzaron un nuevo mínimo

Los futuros del índice S&P 500 subieron un 0,2% después de perder un 0,76% al cierre de la jornada anterior, mientras que los contratos de futuros del Nasdaq 100 aumentaron

Jakub Novak 08:18 2025-03-12 UTC+2

El mercado de valores el 11 de marzo: los índices SP500 y NASDAQ cayeron más del 5,0%

La venta masiva de acciones continuó ayer, pero ya se desaceleró hoy durante la sesión asiática, lo que llevó a una recuperación de los futuros de los índices bursátiles estadounidenses

Jakub Novak 08:14 2025-03-11 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.