empty
13.09.2024 02:12 PM
美元/加元。分析與預測
This image is no longer relevant

美元/加元匯率的上漲也因美元疲軟而受到限制,這主要是由於市場對美聯儲進一步採取更激進貨幣寬鬆政策的預期增加。隨著9月18日為期兩天的貨幣政策會議的結束,美聯儲有45%的機會將借貸成本降低50個基點。在美國生產者物價指數(PPI)發布後,這種預期進一步增強,該指數提供了通脹下降的更多證據。

根據美國勞工統計局的數據,按年計,核心PPI上升了1.7%,低於預期的1.8%,且上個月的數字從2.2%修正為2.1%。此外,扣除波動性較大的食品和能源價格後的核心PPI按年計穩定在2.4%,低於預測的2.5%。這引發了市場對下週會議上更大幅度降息的猜測。

同時,美聯儲的鴿派預期正在推動10年期美國國債收益率降至自2023年5月以來的最低水平。這與正面的風險情緒一起,促成了美元的日內下跌。

This image is no longer relevant

週五發布的密歇根大學初步消費者信心指數可能會創造短期交易機會。因此,這種混合的基本面背景表明,需要有超過1.3600關鍵心理水平的持續強勁表現,才能支持從8月創下的多月低點持續復甦的前景。

技術展望

從技術角度看,日線圖上的振盪指標尚未確認積極轉變,這表明任何進一步的上行運動可能會在1.3620~1.3625附近遇到阻力。然而,如果能夠持續突破該區域,可能會引發技術性買盤,推動即期價格回升至1.3700水準。

另一方面,跌破1.3565水準可能會提供買入機會。如果決定性跌破該水準,將表明過去兩週的近期反彈已經結束,美元/加元匯率可能會回落至上個月達到的1.3440水準。下行趨勢可能進一步延伸至1.3400大關以下。

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.